Updated projections for the Bayesian production model (BSP2JAGS) from the 2017 shortfin mako shark assessment

Citation
Babcock EA, Cortes E, O’Farrell H (2020) Updated projections for the Bayesian production model (BSP2JAGS) from the 2017 shortfin mako shark assessment. ICCAT Collect Vol Sci Papers 76:279–288
Abstract

The Bayesian Surplus Production (BSP) using JAGS (BSP2JAGS), which was used for the north Atlantic population in the 2017 ICCAT shortfin mako assessment was revised to include updated catch data through 2017, a wider range of TACs used in the projections and a longer projection time period. The current year was updated to 2018. The model found that the population has probably decreased over the last two years, and the projections are more pessimistic than they were in the 2017 assessment.